
Patrick Everson
FOX Sports activities Betting Analyst
NFL Rookie of the Yr odds have percolated since nicely earlier than final month’s NFL Draft.
With Caleb Williams basically assured to be the No. 1 general decide, sportsbooks had been keen to place up numbers, even earlier than the Chicago Bears tabbed Williams as their new quarterback.
However betting curiosity available in the market jumped considerably as soon as the USC QB — and others behind him — truly acquired drafted.
“We opened this market just a little earlier than the draft, and we noticed a trickle of cash,” BetMGM dealer Tristan Davis mentioned. “However as quickly as the primary participant was picked, the deal with picked up too.”
With the preliminary betting outburst full, Davis served up his insights on early motion for NFL Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Yr odds.
Wagering on Williams
Previous to the draft, Wiliams opened because the +300 favourite in BetMGM’s odds to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Yr. As soon as the Bears made it official, there was nearly rapid betting enthusiasm for Williams.
“It didn’t take us lengthy to shorten him from +300 to +200. We tightened him possibly a full day after the draft,” Davis mentioned.
Up to now week, Williams shortened as soon as once more, to +180. Which means a $100 guess on Williams would win $180, for a $280 whole payout if he earns the award.
RELATED: Caleb Williams, Bears shaking up the chances: ‘Their ceiling is excessive if he excels’
Williams is taking 22% of bets and a hefty 42% of cash in BetMGM’s Offensive Rookie of the Yr odds market. However together with his quick odds and different gamers getting consideration, legal responsibility isn’t stacking up at this level.
“Though he has been nearly all of deal with, there was sufficient cash unfold out available in the market to place us in a superb place early,” Davis mentioned.
Subsequent in Line
Quarterback Jayden Daniels, drafted No. 2 general by the Washington Commanders, can also be No. 2 in offensive rookie odds at +600. Daniels opened because the +900 third selection, behind Williams and wideout Marvin Harrison Jr. (+600 opener), who was drafted by the Arizona Cardinals.
However the former LSU QB has since leapfrogged Harrison, who’s now at +650. QB J.J. McCarthy, taken tenth general by the Minnesota Vikings, follows at +900 and has seen his odds bounce round fairly a bit early on.
“McCarthy has been an enormous mover. We put up +1400 and had him at +600 at one stage. Since then, we have now put him again out to +900,” Davis mentioned. “It’s a risky market with the rookies. Like a horse race with a heap of first starters, costs will transfer round for some time earlier than we see the market settle.”
McCarthy is fifth in ticket depend and tied for third in cash with wideout Xavier Worthy, one other important mover in NFL Offensive Rookie of the Yr odds. Worthy, a speedster drafted twenty eighth general by the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs, opened at +3500 and shortly lower these odds by greater than half. He’s now at +1600.
Worthy is No. 3 in ticket depend. Harrison is No. 2 in BetMGM’s ticket depend and No. 5 in cash. Daniels is No. 4 in tickets and No. 2 in cash.
Shot within the Darkish
Davis pointed to at least one potential darkish horse to win offensive rookie honors: operating again Jonathon Brooks, taken forty sixth general by the Carolina Panthers.
Brooks had an enormous 2023 season for Texas, with 187 rushes for 1,139 yards, and a stout common of 6.1 yards per carry. He suffered a torn ACL late within the season, however he’s anticipated to be prepared for coaching camp.
“I believe Brooks is value a glance,” Davis mentioned “We took some sharp cash on him at +5000 [and moved] it to +4000. I might have one thing on that.”
It could definitely be a pleasant payout. A $100 guess at +4000 would revenue $4,000, for a $4,100 whole payout.
Getting Defensive
NFL Defensive Rookie of the Yr odds aren’t almost as fashionable, however there’s some curiosity within the wake of the NFL Draft.
BetMGM opened edge rusher Laiatu Latu the favourite at +700. Latu was the primary defensive participant chosen within the draft, going No. 15 general to the Indianapolis Colts.
Nonetheless, even whereas bettering to +600, Latu fell to the second selection on the oddsboard. The brand new favourite is Dallas Turner, one other edge rusher, who went seventeenth general to the Vikings.
Turner opened because the +750 second selection and shortened to +400.
“Dallas Turner was the red-hot favourite to be the primary defensive participant to be drafted. That didn’t occur. So I believe bettors are doubling down right here, possibly getting a greater worth than if he did go along with that first defensive decide,” Davis mentioned.
Turner is lapping the sphere at BetMGM in wagering on odds to win NFL Defensive Participant of the Yr. Turner and Latu are Nos. 1 and a couple of, respectively, in each ticket depend and cash. However Turner has attracted 51% of bets/69% of {dollars} — 3.5 instances extra bets and 6 instances extra money than Latu.
Davis famous one darkish horse on this market, as nicely: linebacker Payton Wilson, who went within the third spherical (98th general) to the Pittsburgh Steelers.
“At larger odds, Wilson from +3000 to +2000 has been one to sneak below the radar,” Davis mentioned.
That makes Wilson the eighth selection at BetMGM.
Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports activities and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He’s a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting area. He’s based mostly in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys {golfing} in 110-degree warmth. Comply with him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.
Need nice tales delivered proper to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports activities account, and observe leagues, groups and gamers to obtain a customized publication each day!

Get extra from Nationwide Soccer League Comply with your favorites to get details about video games, information and extra