After being moved to February 2021 and June 2020, the NASCAR Dixie Vodka 400 will finally take its position in the middle of the 2022 NASCAR playoffs. With only two weeks remaining until the championship decider in Phoenix, the stakes will be extremely high at Homestead-Miami Speedway, where the Round of 8 got underway last week with a victory by Joey Logano, when the green flag drops at 2:30 p.m. ET, just three of the original eight playoff drivers will advance to the semifinals.
How to watch NASCAR Dixie Vodka 400 Live Stream
Event: NASCAR Dixie Vodka 400
Date: 23rd October
Live Broadcast: Racing Tv Network (Try it for free)
Even though he is presently in the cutoff position (fourth on points), three-time Miami champion Denny Hamlin would want to seal himself into Phoenix with a win as the 7-1 co-favorite in the 2022 Dixie Vodka 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. In addition to Kyle Larson and Joey Logano, Tyler Reddick is listed at 8-1 on the NASCAR betting board for Miami. To make 2022 NASCAR Homestead predictions, one must first examine the Dixie Vodka 400 starting lineup from that year.
McClure’s model correctly predicted Martin Truex Jr. as the 2021 season’s Martinsville race winner, yielding a handsome 3-1 payoff. A triumph by Elliott at Road America resulted in a 5-2 reward. Before correctly predicting Larson’s victory in the 2021 NASCAR Cup Final at Phoenix, McClure’s model correctly predicted Larson’s win at Texas (11-4 payoff) and Kansas (9-4 payout) in consecutive weeks. Overall, it correctly predicted five of Larson’s victories that record-setting year.
Ross Chastain had a greater chance of winning in Austin than his 40-1 odds would indicate, as betting on him was heavy early in 2022. In addition, the model had Joey Logano in its sights both before his underdog victory at Darlington (when he was given odds of 15-to-1) and after his subsequent win (at 14-to-1) in St. Louis.
As an example, wagers were placed considerably earlier on Kevin Harvick than his 17-1 odds would have suggested, and he went on to win at Michigan; similarly, bets were set before on Tyler Reddick than his 12-1 odds would have suggested, and he went on to win at Texas for a 12-1 payoff the week before. There were massive payoffs for anyone who followed its advice on such moves.
NASCAR Dixie Vodka 400 Preview
After Sunday’s second of three races in Round 8, just eight drivers will remain in the hunt for the NASCAR Cup Series title.
With one victory, 12 top-five finishes, and 414 laps led at HMS, Kevin Harvick has the best active driver, Average-Finish Position (AFP) (minimum three starts: 7.3).
Denny Hamlin, who drives for Joe Gibbs Racing, has a perfect 10.0 AFP record at Homestead-Miami thanks to his three career wins and five top-five finishes in seventeen Cup races.
As a result of William Byron’s victory for Chevrolet in February 2021, the automaker finally ended Ford and Toyota’s domination. The previous three races at the track had all been won by Toyota, but Ford triumphed in November 2018.
Ross Chastain, a contender for the championship and a resident of the Sunshine State, has had little success in his three Cup outings at the Florida track, averaging a 28.3 AFP.
When Chase Briscoe raced at HMS in the Cup for the first time last year, he placed 18th.
Predictions for the 2022 NASCAR Dixie Vodka 400 race in Miami
While Chase Elliott is a 10-1 longshot in the most recent 2022 NASCAR at Homestead odds, the model predicts he will win the Dixie Vodka 400. Everyone trying to make a quick buck should go after him. Despite spending a large amount of the season in the first place, the 2020 NASCAR Cup Series champion is now in third following a second straight result of 20th or worse in Las Vegas.
With five wins this season, Elliott is atop NASCAR’s victory total, and because one of those triumphs occurred on a 1.5-mile track (at Atlanta), he should have a solid setup to rely on this Sunday on. At Homestead-Miami, he has never placed worse than 15th in six career races and has three top-10 results. In the 2020 Dixie Vodka 400, he led 27 laps and finished second.
NASCAR Dixie Vodka 400 Odds
KEVIN HARVICK FINISHES IN THE TOP TEN (-110)
As was previously said, Harvick won this race in 2014, but he’s a better bet for a top-10 finish than a win. His starting position of 16th is only satisfactory rather than excellent, and he is not among the final eight competitors for a championship.
He has an 85.7% success record, having finished in the top ten in 18 of his 21 Cup races. This is a gamble that will yield excellent returns.