Betting by the numbers: Barkley guess greater than some NFL groups, a 'pretend' in Texas-Georgia, Daniels damage strikes traces

by Anthony S. Hansen
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There is not any love misplaced between professional sports activities groups in New York and Philadelphia, so after operating again Saquon Barkley left the New York Giants for the Philadelphia Eagles within the offseason, his return to MetLife Stadium was all the time going to be emotionally charged. Bettors have been relying on it and cashed in.

At sportsbooks throughout the nation, Saquon Barkley’s anytime landing (-175) was simply the preferred participant prop of Sunday, attracting extra bets and deal with than some other prop at ESPN BET, BetMGM or DraftKings. Barkley cashed the prop about midway by way of the second quarter on a three-yard run en path to 176 dashing yards throughout the Eagles’ 28-3 dismantling of the Giants. Philadelphia simply coated -3, which was additionally among the many hottest unfold bets Sunday.

Guess monitoring software Pikkit, which aggregates betting information throughout sportsbooks, says that the 32,150 Barkley ATD bets it tracked have been greater than any particular person group on the moneyline. The corporate additionally experiences that it noticed greater than 4 occasions as many wagers as the subsequent most bet-on participant to attain a landing (A.J. Brown).

It was an enormous win for the betting public, however the injury was barely mitigated for the sportsbooks who, partly anticipating heavy motion on Barkley’s return to New York, priced the 27-year-old’s landing odds very quick. Caesars Sportsbook’s vice chairman of buying and selling Craig Mucklow characterised it as solely the “second-best outcome for patrons” for that motive regardless of the heavy quantity.

“Barkley, given the angle and motivation, was -175 to attain, which made Tank Bigsby the larger payout for patrons,” he stated. “One other week the place the short-priced landing scorers primarily delivered for the betting public.”

Barkley’s resurgent season in Philly has made him one of many favorites for Offensive Participant of the Yr — +450 coming into Sunday, trailing solely Derrick Henry (+165) at ESPN BET — and bettors are backing him there as nicely.

ESPN BET and DraftKings each report Barkley because the chief by bets and deal with to win the award, with the previous saying he is attracted a number one 7.6% of wagers and 10.3% of cash. BetMGM additionally experiences Barkley because the deal with chief (8.9%), with solely Amon-Ra St. Brown outdoing him in tickets (8.1%).

The Eagles now stand at 4-2 and path the Washington Commanders for the NFC East lead, however have performed fewer video games. It is a considerably shocking state of affairs given Philadelphia was the -135 favourite to win the division earlier than the season, with Washington coming in at third with +1100 odds, per ESPN BET.

Due to the appetizing lengthy odds, the Commanders have confirmed to be a preferred choose among the many public, attracting upwards of 42% of tickets at ESPN BET and BetMGM. Nevertheless, the Eagles nonetheless have a commanding 73.4% of deal with on the latter.

Oddsmaker adjustment: Jayden Daniels‘ damage

Oddsmakers have been attempting to determine how a lot Daniels is value to the unfold after the Washington Commanders’ star rookie quarterback left Sunday’s blowout win over the Carolina Panthers with a rib damage.

Daniels’ standing for subsequent week’s house recreation towards Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears was unknown Sunday evening, however there have been experiences that Daniels was “high quality.”

The Commanders have been listed as 2.5-point favorites over the Bears within the early traces accessible final week at some sportsbooks. The road had settled at choose ’em Sunday evening.

John Murray, government director of the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas, stated they acquired sharp cash on the Bears plus the factors of their early line. “We re-opened the sport Bears +1, because of a mixture of that guess and Daniels probably being banged up,” Murray stated. “Daniels is difficult to quantify. We’re transferring ahead as if he’ll play subsequent week however are monitoring it carefully.”

Oddsmakers estimated Daniels may very well be value as a lot as three to 4 factors to the unfold if he cannot go and backup Marcus Mariota will get the beginning.

Daniels entered Sunday because the consensus odds-on favourite (-275) to win rookie of the yr and had the fourth-best odds (12-1) to win MVP at ESPN BET. He did sufficient towards the Panthers to assist bettors, dashing for 47 yards on the Commanders’ first play and ending with 50 yards dashing on three makes an attempt, simply over his dashing yards prop (49.5) at ESPN BET.

The Cleveland Browns misplaced quarterback DeShaun Watson probably for the season with an Achilles damage. Oddsmakers weren’t planning on making an enormous adjustment to the Browns’ recreation subsequent week towards the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens have been round 10-point favorites over the Browns on Sunday.

Pink-hot street favorites fueling bettors’ sizzling streak

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Damien Woody and Rex Ryan dismantle Jets after loss to Steelers

Damien Woody and Rex Ryan tear into the Jets gamers after their loss to the Steelers amid the group’s ongoing struggles. (edited)

The New York Jets snapped a run of 15 consecutive street favorites overlaying the unfold with their loss to the house underdog Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday evening.

Regardless of the Jets’ loss, the run of overlaying street favorites helped the general public exceed expectations for a second straight Sunday. Mucklow of Caesars Sportsbook stated bettors have been on a “red-hot streak” at his store, with wins by the Detroit Lions, Philadelphia Eagles and Buffalo Payments, the three largest selections of Sunday’s early slate, all going towards the home.

‘Faked’ transfer: Georgia-Texas roller-coast level unfold

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Refs overturn essential PI name after followers throw trash on the sphere

After the referees name a controversial cross interference play, the Texas followers throw trash on the sphere and the decision is reversed.

Final Wednesday, the purpose unfold on the Georgia-Texas recreation moved from Longhorns -3.5 to -5.5 throughout a 20-minute flurry of bets at a number of sportsbooks. However by kickoff Saturday, sufficient cash got here in on Georgia to drive the road again to Texas -3.5.

“It certain regarded like a bunch faked up the Texas line after which got here again on Georgia,” Murray of the Superbook, informed ESPN.

Sometimes, betting syndicates will place bets on one facet of a recreation in an try to push the road extra favorable quantity. Then, later within the week, the identical group might guess bigger quantities of cash on the opposite group on the extra advantageous quantity. The tactic is called a “head pretend” within the betting business.

Georgia closed as a 3.5-point underdog and received 30-15.

Odds & ends

80: Justin Jefferson 80+ receiving yards was the preferred, non-touchdown participant prop at ESPN BET on Sunday. Jefferson completed with seven catches for 81 yards.

49: Pittsburgh Steelers coach Mike Tomlin’s outright wins as an underdog after the Steelers’ 37-15 victory over the New York Jets. It is the second-most all-time behind Don Shula (55-58). At 49-43 (.533), Tomlin has the second-best outright profitable share as an underdog (min. 10 video games) behind solely Matt LaFleur (18-12, .600).

14: Notre Dame opened as a 14-point favourite over Navy in Saturday’s recreation at MetLife Stadium. Navy is 6-0. Notre Dame is 6-1.

$2 million: In September, a bettor with Caesars Sportsbook positioned a $500 wager on Navy to win the nationwide championship at 4,000-1. The guess would pay a web $2 million.

0-7: Air Power’s file towards the unfold this season, the one group that has didn’t cowl the unfold in every of its video games up to now.

$100,000: A bettor with Caesars Sportsbook this week positioned a $100,000 guess on the Ravens to win the AFC North at +325. The Ravens are 3.5-point favorites on the street.

$1,000: A bettor with DraftKings positioned a $1,000 guess on Davante Adams to attain two or extra touchdowns in his debut with the Jets at 13-1 odds. Adams completed with three catches for 30 yards and no touchdowns.

+360: Georgia reclaimed the position of nationwide championship favourite with its spectacular street win at Texas on Saturday. The Bulldogs are +360 at ESPN BET, adopted by Ohio State (+400), Oregon (+500) and Texas (+500).

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