Patrick Everson
FOX Sports activities Betting Analyst
Faculty soccer Week 9 odds might see some critical regional bias present up on what’s positively the Sport of the Week: LSU vs. Texas A&M.
By Wednesday night time, it was already obvious at Caesars Sports activities, which, like most of the huge sportsbooks, has operations in Louisiana.
“Proper now, we’re seeing extra LSU cash. We’re actually fashionable in Louisiana. Tigers followers present up, and so they guess,” Caesars head of soccer buying and selling Joey Feazel stated.
Oddsmakers and sharp bettors serve up their insights on LSU vs. Texas A&M and extra, on this week’s school soccer betting nuggets.
SEC Showdown
It looks like there’s a marquee matchup — or two or three — each week within the SEC. This week isn’t any completely different, because the season inches nearer to the primary Faculty Soccer Playoff rankings, which come out on Nov. 5 — Election Evening, of all nights.
LSU and Texas A&M each wish to keep on observe for a excessive rating. Each are 6-1 straight up (SU), with the Tigers 3-4 towards the unfold (ATS) and the Aggies 2-5 ATS.
“These two groups have related tales. Each are undefeated in SEC play, each misplaced in Week 1 and haven’t misplaced since. Each packages are getting a whole lot of respect,” Feazel stated.
The Aggies opened as 3-point residence favorites and stood at -2.5 as of Wednesday night time. And as Feazel famous above, there’s a cause that time unfold received shorter: plenty of LSU motion.
“We don’t want LSU to cowl,” he stated, earlier than projecting how he thinks this sport will go, relying on who wins. “If Texas A&M wins, the full goes Underneath, and if LSU wins, it’s going Over.”
The full opened at 54 and is down a tick to 53.5. Feazel’s level is that if the Aggies win, their protection will carry the day, and if the Tigers win, it’ll be a higher-scoring affair.
Faculty Soccer Rocks On FOX
For the second straight week, Nebraska is concerned within the Large Midday Kickoff on FOX. And for the second straight week, the Huskers would possibly get drilled.
Ohio State hosts Nebraska at midday ET on Saturday. The Buckeyes (5-1 SU/3-3 ATS) are coming off a bye week, following a more-than-respectable 32-31 loss at Oregon in Week 7.
Conversely, the Huskers (5-2 SU/4-2-1 ATS) went to Indiana final week and received trucked 56-7.
In school soccer Week 9 odds, Ohio State is a large 25.5-point favourite at DraftKings Sportsbook. However that’s not maintaining early bettors off the Buckeyes, who’re drawing 69% of early tickets and 76% of early cash on the purpose unfold.
DraftKings clients additionally count on sufficient scoring to clear the full of 48.5. The Over is netting 87% of early tickets/93% of early cash.
CFB Week 9 Finest Bets: Ohio State vs. Nebraska, Akron vs. Japanese Michigan
On-Campus Sharp Facet
Faculty soccer betting knowledgeable Paul Stone felt strongly final week that Mississippi State would cowl as 15.5-point residence underdogs to aforementioned Texas A&M.
Stone was right, because the Bulldogs misplaced 34-24 however beat the purpose unfold.
In Week 9 school soccer odds, he’s once more wanting on the Texas A&M sport, towards LSU. Stone rightly notes that whereas this matchup won’t be a playoff elimination sport, the loser’s margin for error will get considerably smaller.
As famous above, neither staff has misplaced since Week 1. The Aggies fell at residence to Notre Dame, whereas LSU misplaced to Southern Cal in Las Vegas. A&M is a consensus 2.5-point residence favourite vs. LSU.
Stone is as soon as once more going towards the Aggies, taking the Tigers plus the small factors.
“There’s so much to love about each groups. However I am a little bit extra bullish on the Tigers at this level,” Stone stated. “Getting into the season, LSU clearly had defensive questions. The Tigers additionally needed to substitute a Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback in Jayden Daniels, and two NFL first-round huge receivers, Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas.”
Stone now feels extra snug with LSU on either side of the ball. He additionally identified that Brian Kelly-coached groups have carried out properly as underdogs lately.
For the reason that starting of the 2015 season, when Kelly was teaching Notre Dame, his groups are 13-7 ATS because the underdog, together with 4-1 ATS at LSU.
Public Piles On Navy
May Navy or Military find yourself within the Faculty Soccer Playoff? The brief reply: sure.
Issues should proceed to interrupt proper for each, although, beginning with Navy’s sport vs. Notre Dame at MetLife Stadium on Saturday.
The Midshipmen (6-0 SU/5-1 ATS) are practically two-touchdown underdogs to the Combating Irish (6-1 SU/5-2 ATS). Caesars opened Notre Dame -13.5, received guess right down to -11.5, however rebounded to -13 by Monday night time.
Kickoff is at midday ET Saturday.
“This 12 months, it’s been dying, taxes, and Military and Navy protecting the unfold,” Feazel stated, alluding to Military being 7-0 SU/6-1 ATS. “Navy is a big-time public play this week. We’re gonna want Notre Dame on this one, and I don’t assume that’s gonna change.
“They’re gonna preserve betting Navy.”
CFB Week 9: Vanderbilt vs. Texas finest bets, predictions & odds
Friday Evening Lights
Friday night time options one other sport that might have CFP ramifications: Boise State vs. UNLV. If the CFP was set as we speak, the Broncos would doubtless be in because the highest-ranked Group of 5 convention champion.
Boise State (5-1 SU/3-2-1 ATS) is coming off a bye, and its solely loss was at Oregon, 37-34, on a remaining second area aim.
UNLV (6-1 SU/5-2 ATS) can also be having an enormous 12 months for a program that’s had numerous terrible seasons. A win might get the Rebels within the CFP invitation dialog.
“This can be a actually thrilling sport. You’ve received the front-runner for the Heisman, Ashton Jeanty, coming to UNLV, which is a very gritty staff,” Feazel stated. “It’s a very good matchup, and whoever wins this one could possibly be within the driver’s seat for the CFP berth. Military and Navy each have Notre Dame on their schedule.”
Boise State bounced between -3/-3.5 by midweek and was -3.5 (-105) on Wednesday night time at Caesars.
“We’re seeing a whole lot of Boise State cash. That’s not a shock in any respect, with the explosiveness of Ashton Jeanty,” Feazel stated. “This can be a likelihood for UNLV to place itself on the map. I wouldn’t have thought in 1,000,000 years that will be the case, that UNLV can be on this spot. However right here they’re.”
Alabama Bounce-Again?
Alabama will not be having fun with itself currently. Which is wild whenever you assume that, simply 4 weeks in the past, the Crimson Tide had been coming off a vastly entertaining 41-34 residence win over Georgia.
It was the sport of the season to that time and vaulted ‘Bama to No. 1 within the AP ballot and the favourite in Faculty Soccer Playoff championship odds.
However it’s been a bumpy three weeks since, with losses at Vanderbilt and at Tennessee, sandwiched round a slim residence win vs. South Carolina. So Alabama sits at 5-2 SU/3-4 ATS, with no wiggle room to soak up one other loss.
Missouri (6-1 SU/4-3 ATS) can’t actually afford a loss, both, on this 3:30 p.m. ET Saturday kick. Caesars opened Alabama as a 14-point residence favourite, stretched so far as -17 and stood at -16.5 on Wednesday night time.
“Alabama is determined on this spot. ‘Bama doesn’t desire a third loss, particularly with LSU arising in a pair weeks,” Feazel stated, noting a Nov. 9 showdown in Baton Rouge. “Ever since that Georgia second half, Alabama actually hasn’t been in a position get by its offensive struggles.”
As for Mizzou-Alabama motion because the weekend nears:
“There’s not a whole lot of curiosity on this sport but, exterior of the full. There was a wave of sharp bets on the Underneath,” Feazel stated, noting the full opened at 57 and is all the way in which right down to 51.
Ohio State vs. Nebraska: CFB Week 9 Tremendous Six
I Like Large Bets And I Can not Lie
By late Wednesday night time, there wasn’t a lot to report in the way in which of main wagers on school soccer Week 9 odds. However getting again to that service academy success, Feazel famous, listed below are a few attention-grabbing bets made earlier this 12 months at Caesars Sports activities:
- $200 Military +500000 (5000/1) to win the Faculty Soccer Playoff. If the extremely unlikely occurs, that bettor will revenue $1 million. The guess was made in July.
- $500 Navy +400000 (4000/1) to win the Faculty Soccer Playoff. Once more, it’s seemingly unattainable, but when the Midshipmen win all of it, the bettor will revenue $2 million. The guess was made in September.
It’s price stating that, going into Week 9, Navy and Military have each shaved their CFP championship odds right down to +30000 (300/1). Solely 22 different FBS groups have shorter odds, and lots of of these groups don’t have a possible path to the CFP.
However the Black Knights and Midshipmen do.
Military is at present atop the American Athletic Convention, and Navy is true on its heels in second. If both of these groups wins the AAC, and finally ends up because the highest-rated Group of 5 convention champ within the CFP rankings, then they’d at the very least get invited to the 12-team playoff.
If that appeals to you as a lot because it does to me, then root for these troopers and for some chaos over the following few weeks!
Patrick Everson is a sports activities betting analyst for FOX Sports activities and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He’s a distinguished journalist within the nationwide sports activities betting house. He’s based mostly in Las Vegas, the place he enjoys {golfing} in 110-degree warmth. Comply with him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas.
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