In August, I wrote about why the New York Jets are constructed on a sequence of hypotheticals, all of which had the prospect of truly being true. One of many sections that I had in that story stands out at present, lower than 24 hours after the Jets fell to 2-5 after a 37-15 loss to the Russell Wilson-led Pittsburgh Steelers, a sport that was purported to be the primary spark of a staff that fired their head coach earlier this month. Right here’s what I wrote earlier than the season:
Offensively, what if Rodgers is simply first rate? He doesn’t must be the MVP he as soon as was, particularly if the protection is pretty much as good as it may be. If Rodgers might be the best level guard within the NFL, getting the ball out extraordinarily fast and hitting sufficient of the powerful throws to maintain defenses sincere, it’s a great method for achievement. RB Breece Corridor must be a significant participant on this offense, with a dedication to the bottom sport accentuating round Corridor’s strengths.
By way of seven video games, the issue is that I didn’t take into consideration one other hypothetical on this state of affairs: what if the Jets aren’t adequate all over the place else?
Rodgers himself has been first rate, taking part in like a 40-year-old future Corridor of Fame inductee. The flashes of the man he as soon as was is there in spurts, however for probably the most half this staff is constructed on fast sport and YAC, with the occasional Rodgers classic downfield throw. In keeping with RBSDM.com, Rodgers is twenty fourth in Success Fee this season, which isn’t wherever close to elite standing however nonetheless it was purported to be adequate. His 6.7 Air Yards are Sixth-lowest within the league, however that may nonetheless be a positive factor in the event you’re successful off of YAC and finishing these passes: Baker Mayfield and Patrick Mahomes are first and second in Success Fee this season, however are additionally on the backside of Air Yards this season. The place this will get made up is Yards After the Catch, which is what this staff was purported to be constructed on.
The supporting solid for the Jets all seemingly haven’t taken a step ahead this season. Whereas Breece Corridor has nonetheless been able to the massive play, his 18% Success Fee per Sumer Sports activities hasn’t been as much as par, in addition to an offensive line that’s lifeless final in FTN’s Adjusted Line Yards. They’ve had the very best share of runs stopped at or behind the road of scrimmage this yr. On the subject of the offensive line, New York was twenty fifth and twenty eighth in ESPN’s Go Block and Run Block Win Fee, which wouldn’t be adequate even when we weren’t speaking about having a 40-year outdated beneath middle.
Rodgers clearly has misplaced a little bit of a step, not with the ability to overcome stress along with his legs as typically. Rodgers has seen all the pieces there may be to see within the NFL in relation to coverages, which is why he throws the ball so shortly towards stress, however that brings up the query of the ability place gamers. Buying WR Davante Adams was a sensible transfer, but it surely’s clear the 2 want extra time to get on the identical web page as they had been in Inexperienced Bay:
Outdoors of Adams, Rodgers’ finest receiver has been Allen Lazard, which isn’t an amazing signal in any respect. The offense that’s been constructed is reliant on Rodgers to make these superhuman throws, however these days he’s Clark Kent extra typically than Superman.
Nevertheless, we haven’t even gotten to a protection that has seemingly regressed since being a top-five unit for the final three years. The line of defense remains to be second and third in stress and sack fee, respectively, however they’re twenty ninth in Adjusted Line Yards given up. Buying and selling EDGE John Franklin-Myers to Denver and dropping Jermaine Johnson to harm has taken an enormous hit out of their run protection and so they haven’t been in a position to make up for it. The depth of their protection isn’t as loaded because it was once, ensuing of their protection taking a much bigger hit than anticipated. Their defensive stars have nonetheless been good, however not fairly the caliber anticipated of their stature, and that’s a problem when mixed with a struggling offense.
Rodgers himself isn’t above blame. As I mentioned earlier, he’s twenty fourth in Success Fee. Nevertheless, Rodgers the GM and determination maker has undercut Rodgers the participant. The Jets are feeling all the losses they’ve taken within the offseason in hopes of constructing a staff that Rodgers would love, and it places them on the point of dropping their playoff hopes for good. A protection that’s taken a step again mixed with an offense that may’t get out of their very own means creates what we’ve got now, and there doesn’t appear to be many options coming in.